Lest you panic...

A reminder that Obama needs 270 EVs to win the election. Assume he wins all the Kerry states. But wait, you say, what about New Hampshire and Pennsylvania, might they go McCain? The last five polls of those states:
Pennsylvania: +12, +7, +12, +4, +12
New Hampshire: +17, +4, +11, +13, +18

So forget about those two states, and now Obama has 252 EVs.

Next up, Iowa, with 7 EVs: +15, +8, +11, +15, +10
New Mexico, with 5 EVs: +10, +7, +13, +8, +11

Now he's up to 264. Let's look at Colorado (9) and Virgina (13):
CO: +4, +10, +9, +7, +9
VA: +4, +9, +9, +8, +9

He wins either of those, he wins. And we haven't brought up Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, or Nevada, all of which are looking no worse than toss-ups, and are actually leaning Obama's way.

So fret not when you see a national tracking poll make it seem like it is close. It ain't.